The Gipper's Economy
[Ronald Reagan]
by William Greider
The Nation magazine, June
28, 2004
The Gipper had a certain goofiness about
him that was impossible not to like. He told "war stories"
borrowed from old movies with such sincerity you were sure he
must have been there. He was a famous football hero ("win
this one for the Gipper") and also a handsome cowboy depicted
on horseback his 1980 campaign posters (but without his six-shooters).
He taught wacky science lessons (trees are a leading source of
air pollution) and delivered many dewy-eyed tributes to American
heroes, some plucked from yesterday's headlines, some recycled
from his rheumy memories of World War I. Whether you came to canonize
the man or ridicule him, he was always great material. Historians,
I think, will someday rank him right up there with Warren Harding.
Reagan was a fabulist. He told stories-often
charming, sometimes loony-in which sentimental images triumphed
over facts, warmth over light. So it is entirely appropriate today
that the major media, draped in mourning, are solemnly fictionalizing
his presidency. Reagan spun them around brilliantly, used the
White House reporters and cameras as hapless props in his melodrama,
ignored the tough questions and stuck unyieldingly to his scripted
version of reality. This was partly conviction, partly the discipline
of an "old pro" movie actor. It appears to have worked
with the press. The* memorials to the "Ronald Reagan story"
sound more like his fables than the events I witnessed.
What's left out? For one thing, a chilling
meanness lurked at the core of Reagan's political agenda (always
effectively concealed by the affability), and he used this meanness
like a razor blade to advance his main purpose-delegitimizing
the federal government. Race was one cutting edge, poverty was
another. His famous metaphor-the "welfare queen" who
rode around in her Cadillac collecting food stamps-was perfectly
pitched to the smoldering social resentments but also a clever
fit with his broader economic objectives. Stop wasting our money
on those lazy, shiftless (and) always unspoken, black) people.
Get government off our backs, encourage the strong, forget the
weak. In case any white guys missed the point, Reagan opened his
1980 campaign *n Neshoba County, Mississippi, where three civil
rights workers had been murdered *n the 1960s. His speech extolled
states' rights. The tone was sunny optimism.
The chemistry worked partly because it
coincided with a historical shift already under way. Beyond movie
scripts, Reagan was authentic in his convictions-he brought the
flint-hearted libertarian doctrines of Hayek and Friedman to Washington
and put a smiling face on the market orthodoxy of "every
man for himself." Democrats had lost their energy and inventiveness,
they were associated with twenty years of contentious reforms,
turmoil and conflict (and sought relief, not by rebuilding their
popular base with new ideas but by cozying up to the business
lobbies). In the end, the only folks who got truly liberated by
Reaganomics were the same people who had financed his rise in
politics, the Daddy Warbucks moguls from California and corporate
behemoths like General Electric.
Reagan's theory was really "trickle
down" economics borrowed from the Republican 1920s (Harding-Coolidge-Hoover)
and renamed "supply side." Cut tax rates for the wealthy;
everyone else will benefit. As Reagan's budget director David
Stockman confided to me at the time, the supply-side rhetoric
"was always a Trojan horse to bring down the top rate."
Many middle-class and poor citizens figured it out, even if reporters
did not.
Reagan's great accomplishment was ideological-propelling
the ascendancy of the right-but the actual governing results always
looked more like hoary old interest-group politics. Wealthy individuals,
corporate and financial interests got extraordinary benefits (tax
reductions and deregulation) while the bottom half got whacked
whenever an opportunity arose. His original proposition-cut taxes
regressively, double military spending, shrink government and
balance the federal budget-looked cockeyed from the start. Yet
when the logic self-destructed in practice, conservatives were
remarkably content, since they had delivered the boodle to the
right clients. After my notorious account of Reagan's economic
failure, based on my conversations with Stockman, was published
*n the December 1981 Atlantic Monthly, the Gipper likened me to
John Hinckley, the would-be assassin who shot him. So much for
Mr. Nice Guy.
Both parties would spend the next twenty
years cleaning up after the Gipper's big mistake. They collaborated
in an ongoing politics of bait and switch-raising taxes massively
on working people through the Social Security payroll tax while
continuing to cut taxes for the more affluent and to whittle down
government aid for anyone else. The Gipper had taught Washington
an important new technique for governing-how to fog regressive
tax cuts past the general public without arousing voter retribution
(the media can be counted on to assist). The trickery continues
to succeed. Pre-Reagan politics used to address various economic
inequities. The great injustice confronted by George W. Bush was
the estate tax on millionaires.
Reagan's stubborn optimism did refresh
the national spirit, no question, and it certainly powered his
political successes. He gave us a television-era remake of Warren
Harding's "return to normalcy." But in hindsight, I
have come to think that the illusions fostered by his sunny messages
perhaps did the gravest economic damage. Things were not normal,
they were deteriorating and leading toward a chasm of growing
inequalities. The rending of the American middle class, the stagnation
of industrial wages, the relentless loss of US manufacturing-these
great wounds to general prosperity were all visible during the
Reagan era, but instead of addressing them honestly, his policies
further aggravated the consequences. The Gipper insisted, no doubt
sincerely, that it was "morning again in America." People
wanted to believe this, and politicians of both parties learned
from his cue-wave the flag and avoid bad news. Ronald Reagan launched
the great era of false triumphalism that continues to this day
among American leaders. The current generation lacks his charm
and is therefore less successful at hiding the truth.
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